Mekelle፡Telaviv, Nairobi, Pretoria, London, (Horn News Hub).
The Unstoppable Reality of Ethiopia’s GERD: A Forceful Response to Egypt’s Cynicism and Hypocrisy
By Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)
Special Strategic Response Document
Introduction
Egypt’s latest letter to the United Nations Security Council, condemning Ethiopia’s inauguration of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), is yet another manifestation of outdated colonial nostalgia, political cynicism, and arrogant denial of today’s geopolitical realities.
Disguised under the rhetoric of “international law,” Cairo’s protest is nothing more than a desperate attempt to preserve a historically manufactured and unjust monopoly over Nile waters—a monopoly rooted in colonial-era treaties that Ethiopia neither recognized nor will ever accept.
Ethiopia is not merely constructing a dam. It is shaping a new geopolitical reality—a new balance of power in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea corridor. This transformation is unstoppable, no matter how loud Cairo’s protests become.
A Forceful Response to Egypt’s Condemnation
Egypt’s accusations, voiced by Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty, rest on shaky ground. The irony is undeniable:
Egypt contributes not a single drop of water to the Nile River system.
Ethiopia provides 85–95% of the Nile waters, through the Blue Nile and Atbara Rivers, which sustain the Aswan High Dam.
Egypt’s allocation of 55.5 billion cubic meters of water annually secured through colonial treaties without Ethiopian participation is unjust, outdated, and legally baseless.
A firm reminder to Cairo: Without Ethiopia’s waters, the Aswan High Dam would be a desert monument. Without Ethiopia, Egypt’s “lifeblood” would dry into dust. The refusal of Egypt’s ruling elite to acknowledge this reality is not only hypocritical it is dangerously self-destructive.
Exposing Egypt’s Hypocrisy and Double Standards
Egypt’s selective invocation of “international law” ignores three fundamental truths:
- Colonial Legacies Cannot Bind Independent States
The 1929 and 1959 Nile treaties, which granted Egypt and Sudan near-total control of the Nile, were imposed under colonial Britain. Ethiopia, never colonized, never signed or accepted these arrangements. - Ethiopia’s Sovereign Rights Are Absolute
International water law upholds the principle of equitable and reasonable utilization. Ethiopia’s right to use its waters for hydropower, irrigation, and food security is indisputable and cannot be nullified by Egyptian fearmongering. - Egypt’s Political Cynicism
For decades, Egypt blocked Nile Basin Cooperative Framework Agreements, undermined African unity, and lobbied Western powers to preserve its unjust share. Now, faced with Ethiopia’s assertiveness, Cairo hides behind “international law” while refusing fairness.
Strategic Foresight: Ethiopia’s Geopolitical Rise
Egypt must accept the unfolding realities:
The GERD is irreversible. Its turbines are operational, its reservoir filled. No UN letter can reverse a completed, functioning project.
Ethiopia is asserting regional leadership. With its water resources, geographic position, and demographic weight, Ethiopia now holds decisive leverage in the Horn of Africa, the Nile Basin, and the Red Sea corridor.
Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspiration is unstoppable. A sovereign nation of 120 million people cannot remain landlocked indefinitely. Regional geopolitics will bend toward this inevitability.
Ethiopian wisdom applies here:
“When the hyena is gone, the dog begins to bark.” – ጅብ ከሔደ ውሻ ይጮሃል
Egypt’s belated protests are nothing but the barking of dogs long after the caravan has passed.
Narrative Power: Ethiopia’s Destiny vs. Egypt’s Colonial Hangover
The clash between Ethiopia and Egypt is not merely about water it is about narratives:
Ethiopia’s narrative is empowerment. The Nile is viewed as a God-given gift, entrusted to Ethiopia to lift its people from poverty into prosperity.
Egypt’s narrative is stagnation. It clings to colonial privileges as if history froze in 1959.
Ethiopia builds dams, power, and progress. Egypt clings to rhetoric, obstruction, and dependency.
Metaphors of Reality:
“The camel keeps marching while the dogs keep barking.” Ethiopia is the camel; Egypt, the barking dog.
“Too late to stop the rising lions.” Ethiopia’s new generation will not be entrapped by Egypt’s outdated tactics or Western lobbying.
Firm Strategic Advice to Egypt
- Accept the New Realities. The GERD is no longer negotiable it is a sovereign fact.
- Shift from Confrontation to Cooperation. Denunciation achieves nothing; partnership based on equity is the only sustainable path.
- Acknowledge Ethiopia’s Role. Without Ethiopia, there is no Nile. Gratitude and cooperation not arrogance and denial should guide Egypt’s policy.
- Abandon Colonial Mentality. The era of hegemonic control over African waters is over.
Conclusion: Ethiopia’s Inevitable March Forward
History has turned the page. The Nile is no longer Egypt’s monopoly it is Africa’s shared inheritance. Ethiopia, as the natural source and rightful steward of the Nile, will never again be shackled by colonial treaties or intimidated by diplomatic theatrics.
Egypt’s political culture marked by arrogance, hypocrisy, and double standards has reached its end. The GERD is Ethiopia’s irreversible declaration of sovereignty, progress, and destiny.
As the Ethiopian proverb says:
“The dogs bark, but the caravan moves on.”
And Ethiopia’s caravan of development, dignity, and destiny moves forward, unstoppable.
📌 Prepared by the Horn of Africa Geopolitical Review (HAGR)
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🌿 Happy Ethiopian New Year – 2018 E.C. 🌿
